September 27, 2023

November 1 Israel Knesset elections prediction considering far-right parties

The Netanyahu-led bloc falls from 61 to 59 seats, after Israel’s former prime minister mediated an agreement between two far-right parties

Benjamin Netanyahu’s camp appears to have the lost the narrow majority it was scoring in polls, after the Likud leader brokered an agreement between two far-right factions for a joint run in Israel’s November election.

In Thursday’s Channel 13 poll, the Netanyahu-led bloc would reach 59 seats, two short of a majority, in contrast to the 61-seat victory presented in the last survey.

According to the Channel 13 poll last week, Kahanist party Otzma Yehudit, helmed by Itamar Ben-Gvir, would have gained nine seats, while Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism would have achieved seven seats. Thursday’s poll finds them to securing only 12 seats between them. The move, however, is thought to be safer, as other polls had Smotrich’s party teetering above and even falling below the quorum to enter the Knesset.

The remaining parties in the opposition bloc – the ultra-Orthodox Shas and United Torah Judaism stand to gain eight and seven seats respectively.

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