Poll predicts election tie in Nov. 1 vote
Survey shows that were elections to be held now, the Netanyahu and Lapid blocs would garner 60 seats each, just one short of forming a coalition.
Were elections to be held now, the Netanyahu and Lapid blocs would garner 60 seats each, just one short of forming a coalition.
Likud is heading the list with 32 expected seats, followed by Yesh Atid with 24 seats, and Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionist Party with 13. Benny Gantz’s State Party is coming in fourth with 11 seats, followed by Labor and Meretz with six seats each.
Ultra-Orthodox parties Shas and United Torah Judaism are predicted to garner seven seats each and Arab factions Ra’am and Hadash–Ta’al four mandates each. Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu is expected to gain five seats.
Among factions that are not expected to garner the four necessary seats to make it into the Knesset are Ayelet Shaked’s Habayit Hayehudi, Arab faction Balad, and Hadar Muchtar’s Fiery Youth.
The survey also took into consideration whether respondents were guaranteed to arrive at the voting stations on election day. The national religious sector is leading the list, with 70% of respondents having said they would not miss election day, followed by those who defined themselves as secular (60%) traditional (56%), and religious and ultra-Orthodox (51%). The lowest election turnout is expected in the Arab sector, with only 32% having said that they would definitely vote on Nov. 1.
Based on data from respondents that were guaranteed to arrive alone, the right-wing bloc is expected to garner 64 votes.
As for premiership, 41% said Benjamin Netanyahu was best suited for the job, followed by Yair Lapid (27%) and Benny Gantz (10%).
In addition, 42% of respondents said they believed another round of election was coming, while 31% said a government will be formed after the Nov. 1 vote. Some 27% said they did not know whether the current election would result in a coalition.