Three weeks to the elections: Netanyahu fails to reach 61
The survey conducted by Menachem Lazar, director of the polling institute Panels Politics, for the program “Seven Nine” with Golan Yokhpaz and Anat Davidov, tested whether one of the blocs succeeds in breaking the ceiling of the 61.
Voter’s Day, November 1, is approaching, and the campaigns are already in full swing amid the dramatic political developments, including the maritime border agreement between Israel and Lebanon and the tense security situation. Despite everything, it seems that the blocs remain stable, and the 103FM poll published this morning (Wednesday) shows equality between the parties that support Netanyahu and those that oppose him.
According to the survey conducted by Menachem Lazar, director of the polling institute Panels Politics, for the program “Seven Nine” with Golan Yokhpaz and Anat Davidov, if the elections were held today, the Likud would have 32 seats in the Knesset, but still cannot form a government. Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit (the third largest party in Israel) together receive 13 mandates, Shas and Torah Judaism with 8 and 7 mandates respectively, and the Netanyahu bloc reaches 60 mandates.
On the other hand, there is a future with 25 mandates, the state camp led by Benny Gantz decreases by two mandates from the previous 103FM poll, and stands at 11. Later – Israel Beitno increases its mandate to 6, Havoda and Meretz stabilize at 5 mandates each, and Hadash parties – Ta’al and Ra’am receive 4 mandates each.
Below the blocking percentage, you can find the Jewish Home led by Ayelet Shaked with 2.6%, Abir Kara’s Economic Freedom with 1.6% and Balad with 1.2%. The Burning Youth Party, Prof. Yaron Zelicha’s Economic Party and Ale Yerok are well below the blocking percentage with less than 1% each.
700 members of Panel4All’s respondent panel participated in the survey to conduct research on the Internet. The survey, conducted yesterday, was carried out on a representative sample of the adult population in the State of Israel aged 18 and over, both Jews and Arabs. The maximum sampling error is 3.7 percent.